Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Beijing Guoan win with a probability of 50.2%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Tianjin Jinmen Tiger had a probability of 23.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Beijing Guoan win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.05%) and 2-1 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.4%), while for a Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win it was 0-1 (8.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.
