Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shandong Luneng Taishan win with a probability of 44.09%. A win for Hebei China Fortune had a probability of 31.66% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shandong Luneng Taishan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.42%) and 0-2 (6.82%). The likeliest Hebei China Fortune win was 2-1 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.