Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ulsan Hyundai win with a probability of 45.93%. A win for Shanghai Shenhua had a probability of 29.8% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ulsan Hyundai win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.9%) and 0-2 (7.29%). The likeliest Shanghai Shenhua win was 2-1 (7.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ulsan Hyundai would win this match.
