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AFC Champions League | Group Stage
Dec 3, 2020 at 10am UK
Hongkou Stadium

Sh. Shenhua
1 - 4
Ulsan

Bi (60')
Shuai (73')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Joo-ho (3'), Sang-heon (24'), Johnsen (75' pen., 90')
Sin (84')
Coverage of the AFC Champions League Group Stage clash between Shanghai Shenhua and Ulsan Hyundai.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ulsan Hyundai win with a probability of 45.93%. A win for Shanghai Shenhua had a probability of 29.8% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ulsan Hyundai win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.9%) and 0-2 (7.29%). The likeliest Shanghai Shenhua win was 2-1 (7.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ulsan Hyundai would win this match.

Result
Shanghai ShenhuaDrawUlsan Hyundai
29.8%24.27%45.93%
Both teams to score 58.04%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.69%44.31%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.31%66.68%
Shanghai Shenhua Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.04%27.96%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.4%63.59%
Ulsan Hyundai Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.56%19.43%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.73%51.27%
Score Analysis
    Shanghai Shenhua 29.8%
    Ulsan Hyundai 45.93%
    Draw 24.26%
Shanghai ShenhuaDrawUlsan Hyundai
2-1 @ 7.23%
1-0 @ 6.93%
2-0 @ 4.41%
3-1 @ 3.07%
3-2 @ 2.52%
3-0 @ 1.87%
4-1 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 29.8%
1-1 @ 11.34%
2-2 @ 5.92%
0-0 @ 5.43%
3-3 @ 1.37%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.26%
1-2 @ 9.29%
0-1 @ 8.9%
0-2 @ 7.29%
1-3 @ 5.07%
0-3 @ 3.98%
2-3 @ 3.23%
1-4 @ 2.08%
0-4 @ 1.63%
2-4 @ 1.32%
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 45.93%

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