Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Tokyo win with a probability of 50.55%. A win for Shanghai Shenhua had a probability of 26.95% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Tokyo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.66%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Shanghai Shenhua win was 1-2 (6.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.