SM
| Current League C Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Anguilla | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Bonaire | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Saint Martin | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League B Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Bermuda | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Belize | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Saint Vincent & the Grenadines | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | French Guiana | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belize win with a probability of 84.54%. A draw had a probability of 10.5% and a win for Anguilla had a probability of 4.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Belize win was 0-3 with a probability of 11.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.95%) and 0-4 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.99%), while for an Anguilla win it was 1-0 (1.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Belize would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Anguilla | Draw | Belize |
4.93% ( 0.97) | 10.54% ( 1.71) | 84.54% ( -2.68) |
| Both teams to score 44.25% ( -0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.27% ( -4.3) | 29.73% ( 4.3) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 49.13% ( -5.38) | 50.87% ( 5.39) |
| Anguilla Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 46.56% ( 0.32) | 53.44% ( -0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 13.07% ( 0.2) | 86.93% ( -0.2) |
| Belize Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 95.04% ( -1.16) | 4.96% ( 1.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 80.15% ( -3.64) | 19.85% ( 3.64) |
| Score Analysis |
| Anguilla | Draw | Belize |
| 1-0 @ 1.66% ( 0.39) 2-1 @ 1.56% ( 0.28)Other @ 1.71% Total : 4.93% | 1-1 @ 4.99% ( 0.85) 0-0 @ 2.65% ( 0.61)2-2 @ 2.35% ( 0.25)Other @ 0.55% Total : 10.54% | 0-3 @ 11.97% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 11.95% ( 1.04)0-4 @ 8.99% ( -0.75)0-1 @ 7.96% ( 1.29)1-3 @ 7.5% ( 0.11)1-2 @ 7.49% ( 0.72)1-4 @ 5.64% ( -0.41)0-5 @ 5.4% ( -0.97)1-5 @ 3.39% ( -0.57)0-6 @ 2.71% ( -0.77)2-3 @ 2.35% ( 0.06)2-4 @ 1.77% ( -0.11)1-6 @ 1.7% ( -0.46)0-7 @ 1.16% ( -0.46)2-5 @ 1.06% ( -0.17)Other @ 3.5% Total : 84.53% |
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