SM
| Current League C Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Anguilla | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Bonaire | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Saint Martin | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Suriname win with a probability of 70.13%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Anguilla had a probability of 11.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Suriname win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.4%) and 1-2 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.85%), while for an Anguilla win it was 1-0 (4.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Suriname would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Anguilla | Draw | Suriname |
11.21% ( 1.14) | 18.65% ( 1.41) | 70.13% ( -2.55) |
| Both teams to score 44.93% ( -0.59) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.08% ( -3.06) | 45.92% ( 3.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.77% ( -2.96) | 68.23% ( 2.96) |
| Anguilla Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 50.99% ( 0.21) | 49% ( -0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.04% ( 0.15) | 83.95% ( -0.15) |
| Suriname Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.11% ( -1.52) | 11.88% ( 1.52) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.8% ( -3.34) | 37.19% ( 3.33) |
| Score Analysis |
| Anguilla | Draw | Suriname |
| 1-0 @ 4.15% ( 0.54) 2-1 @ 3.16% ( 0.25)2-0 @ 1.48% ( 0.2)Other @ 2.42% Total : 11.21% | 1-1 @ 8.85% ( 0.65) 0-0 @ 5.82% ( 0.72)2-2 @ 3.36% ( 0.07)Other @ 0.62% Total : 18.65% | 0-2 @ 13.21% ( 0.11) 0-1 @ 12.4% ( 0.84)1-2 @ 9.42% ( 0.13)0-3 @ 9.38% ( -0.52)1-3 @ 6.69% ( -0.33)0-4 @ 5% ( -0.62)1-4 @ 3.56% ( -0.42)2-3 @ 2.39% ( -0.1)0-5 @ 2.13% ( -0.42)1-5 @ 1.52% ( -0.29)2-4 @ 1.27% ( -0.14)Other @ 3.17% Total : 70.13% |
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