SM
| Current League C Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Anguilla | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Bonaire | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Saint Martin | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League C Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Anguilla | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Bonaire | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Saint Martin | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bonaire win with a probability of 65.62%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for Anguilla had a probability of 16.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bonaire win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.73%) and 0-2 (7.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.32%), while for an Anguilla win it was 2-1 (4.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bonaire would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Anguilla | Draw | Bonaire |
16.74% ( -1.14) | 17.65% ( -0.79) | 65.62% ( 1.94) |
| Both teams to score 64.73% ( 0.65) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 72.03% ( 1.84) | 27.96% ( -1.83) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 51.3% ( 2.25) | 48.7% ( -2.25) |
| Anguilla Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.42% ( 0) | 29.58% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.39% ( 0) | 65.61% |
| Bonaire Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.92% ( 0.92) | 8.07% ( -0.92) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 71.6% ( 2.26) | 28.39% ( -2.25) |
| Score Analysis |
| Anguilla | Draw | Bonaire |
| 2-1 @ 4.46% ( -0.29) 1-0 @ 2.91% ( -0.33)3-2 @ 2.28% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 1.81% ( -0.12)2-0 @ 1.77% ( -0.2)Other @ 3.51% Total : 16.74% | 1-1 @ 7.32% ( -0.48) 2-2 @ 5.61% ( -0.11)0-0 @ 2.39% ( -0.27)3-3 @ 1.91% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.42% Total : 17.65% | 1-2 @ 9.21% ( -0.19) 1-3 @ 7.73% ( 0.18)0-2 @ 7.56% ( -0.15)0-3 @ 6.34% ( 0.15)0-1 @ 6.01% ( -0.4)1-4 @ 4.86% ( 0.32)2-3 @ 4.71% ( 0.11)0-4 @ 3.99% ( 0.26)2-4 @ 2.96% ( 0.19)1-5 @ 2.45% ( 0.26)0-5 @ 2.01% ( 0.21)2-5 @ 1.49% ( 0.16)3-4 @ 1.2% ( 0.08)1-6 @ 1.03% ( 0.15)Other @ 4.07% Total : 65.62% |
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