SM
| Current League B Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Bermuda | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Belize | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Saint Vincent & the Grenadines | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | French Guiana | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League B Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Nicaragua | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Dominican Republic | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Barbados | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Montserrat | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nicaragua win with a probability of 38.58%. A win for Belize had a probability of 33.29% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nicaragua win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.02%) and 0-2 (7.23%). The likeliest Belize win was 1-0 (10.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nicaragua would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Belize | Draw | Nicaragua |
33.29% ( 0.05) | 28.13% ( 0.02) | 38.58% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 47.17% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.09% ( -0.08) | 58.91% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.6% ( -0.06) | 79.4% ( 0.06) |
| Belize Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.02% ( -0) | 32.98% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.44% ( -0.01) | 69.56% ( 0) |
| Nicaragua Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.38% ( -0.08) | 29.61% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.35% ( -0.1) | 65.65% ( 0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Belize | Draw | Nicaragua |
| 1-0 @ 10.83% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 7.31% ( 0)2-0 @ 6.01% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 2.7% 3-0 @ 2.22% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.65% ( -0)Other @ 2.57% Total : 33.29% | 1-1 @ 13.18% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.77% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 4.45% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.73% Total : 28.12% | 0-1 @ 11.88% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.02% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 7.23% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.25% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.93% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.46% Total : 38.57% |
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