SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cuba win with a probability of 47.3%. A win for Barbados had a probability of 26.45% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cuba win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.13%) and 0-2 (8.89%). The likeliest Barbados win was 1-0 (8.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Cuba in this match.
| Result | ||
| Barbados | Draw | Cuba |
26.45% ( 0.01) | 26.25% ( 0) | 47.3% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 49.36% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.44% ( -0) | 54.56% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.09% ( -0) | 75.9% ( 0) |
| Barbados Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.16% ( 0.01) | 35.83% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.39% ( 0.01) | 72.61% ( -0.01) |
| Cuba Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.93% ( -0.01) | 23.06% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.1% ( -0.01) | 56.89% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Barbados | Draw | Cuba |
| 1-0 @ 8.48% ( 0) 2-1 @ 6.39% ( 0)2-0 @ 4.35% ( 0)3-1 @ 2.18% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.6% 3-0 @ 1.49% ( 0)Other @ 1.95% Total : 26.45% | 1-1 @ 12.44% 0-0 @ 8.27% ( 0)2-2 @ 4.68% Other @ 0.86% Total : 26.25% | 0-1 @ 12.12% 1-2 @ 9.13% ( -0)0-2 @ 8.89% ( -0)1-3 @ 4.46% ( -0)0-3 @ 4.35% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.29% 1-4 @ 1.64% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.59% ( -0)Other @ 2.83% Total : 47.29% |
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