SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guadeloupe win with a probability of 48.46%. A win for Barbados had a probability of 28.45% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guadeloupe win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.91%) and 2-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Barbados win was 1-2 (6.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Guadeloupe in this match.
| Result | ||
| Guadeloupe | Draw | Barbados |
48.46% ( 0.23) | 23.09% ( 0.01) | 28.45% ( -0.24) |
| Both teams to score 61.26% ( -0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.34% ( -0.2) | 39.65% ( 0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.99% ( -0.21) | 62% ( 0.2) |
| Guadeloupe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.37% ( 0.01) | 16.62% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.54% ( 0.02) | 46.45% ( -0.03) |
| Barbados Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.48% ( -0.26) | 26.52% ( 0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.28% ( -0.35) | 61.72% ( 0.34) |
| Score Analysis |
| Guadeloupe | Draw | Barbados |
| 2-1 @ 9.42% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 7.91% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 7.1% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 5.63% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 4.24% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 3.74% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.53% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.9% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.68% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 0.91% ( 0)Other @ 3.4% Total : 48.46% | 1-1 @ 10.5% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.25% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 4.41% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.09% | 1-2 @ 6.97% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 5.85% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.88% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 3.08% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2.77% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.24% Total : 28.45% |
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