SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barbados win with a probability of 46.71%. A win for Guadeloupe had a probability of 30.42% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barbados win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.16%) and 2-0 (6.47%). The likeliest Guadeloupe win was 1-2 (7.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Barbados | Draw | Guadeloupe |
46.71% ( 0.02) | 22.87% ( 0) | 30.42% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 63.42% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.6% ( -0.02) | 37.39% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.38% ( -0.02) | 59.61% ( 0.03) |
| Barbados Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.58% ( 0) | 16.42% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.92% | 46.08% ( 0.01) |
| Guadeloupe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.87% ( -0.02) | 24.13% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.57% ( -0.03) | 58.43% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Barbados | Draw | Guadeloupe |
| 2-1 @ 9.19% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.16% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.47% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.54% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.94% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.89% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.5% 4-2 @ 1.78% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.76% ( 0)5-1 @ 0.9% Other @ 3.58% Total : 46.71% | 1-1 @ 10.17% 2-2 @ 6.54% ( -0)0-0 @ 3.96% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.87% ( -0)Other @ 0.33% Total : 22.87% | 1-2 @ 7.23% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.63% ( 0)0-2 @ 4% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.43% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.1% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.9% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.22% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.1% ( -0)Other @ 2.8% Total : 30.42% |
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