SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cuba win with a probability of 42.22%. A win for Antigua and Barbuda had a probability of 36.46% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cuba win was 2-1 with a probability of 8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.23%) and 3-2 (4.74%). The likeliest Antigua and Barbuda win was 1-2 (7.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.17%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cuba would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cuba | Draw | Antigua and Barbuda |
42.22% ( 0.49) | 21.32% ( -0.05) | 36.46% ( -0.42) |
| Both teams to score 71.91% ( 0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 72.68% ( 0.21) | 27.32% ( -0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 52.11% ( 0.26) | 47.89% ( -0.25) |
| Cuba Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.91% ( 0.26) | 14.09% ( -0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.3% ( 0.5) | 41.71% ( -0.49) |
| Antigua and Barbuda Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.7% ( -0.08) | 16.3% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.13% ( -0.16) | 45.87% ( 0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cuba | Draw | Antigua and Barbuda |
| 2-1 @ 8% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.23% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 4.74% ( 0.04)1-0 @ 4.5% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 4.41% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 2.88% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 2.56% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 2.32% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 1.41% ( 0.03)4-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 1% ( 0.03)5-2 @ 0.91% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.86% Total : 42.23% | 1-1 @ 8.17% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 7.26% ( -0)3-3 @ 2.87% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 2.3% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.74% Total : 21.32% | 1-2 @ 7.41% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 4.48% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 4.39% ( -0.01)0-1 @ 4.17% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 3.78% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 2.29% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 2.03% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 1.99% ( -0.01)3-4 @ 1.3% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.04% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.6% Total : 36.46% |
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