Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - North Central America First Round clash between El Salvador and Antigua and Barbuda.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a El Salvador win with a probability of 47.54%. A win for Antigua and Barbuda had a probability of 28.94% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a El Salvador win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.28%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Antigua and Barbuda win was 1-2 (7.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.82%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that El Salvador would win this match.
