Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Antigua and Barbuda win with a probability of 48.04%. A win for Guadeloupe had a probability of 27.93% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for an Antigua and Barbuda win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.17%) and 2-0 (7.71%). The likeliest Guadeloupe win was 1-2 (6.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Antigua and Barbuda would win this match.
