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CONCACAF Nations League | League B
Mar 23, 2023 at 9.30pm UK
 
DR

French Guiana
1 - 1
Dominican Rep.

Legrand (85')
Leon (45+3'), Haabo (54'), Edwige (90+6'), Lescot (90+6')
Haabo (69')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Heredia (90+4')
Lopez (44'), Carlos Lopez (80')
Coverage of the CONCACAF Nations League League B clash between French Guiana and Dominican Republic.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: French Guiana 1-0 Belize
Tuesday, June 14 at 11pm in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Dominican Rep. 1-1 Cuba
Friday, November 18 at 11pm in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dominican Republic win with a probability of 66.53%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for French Guiana had a probability of 13.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dominican Republic win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.32%) and 1-2 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.55%), while for a French Guiana win it was 1-0 (4.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.

Result
French GuianaDrawDominican Republic
13.36% (-0.465 -0.47) 20.11% (0.060000000000002 0.06) 66.53% (0.40300000000001 0.4)
Both teams to score 46.81% (-1.438 -1.44)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.02% (-1.259 -1.26)46.99% (1.257 1.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.77% (-1.185 -1.19)69.23% (1.184 1.18)
French Guiana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.94% (-1.487 -1.49)46.06% (1.485 1.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.23% (-1.176 -1.18)81.77% (1.174 1.17)
Dominican Republic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.78% (-0.267 -0.27)13.22% (0.267 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.02% (-0.541 -0.54)39.98% (0.539 0.54)
Score Analysis
    French Guiana 13.36%
    Dominican Republic 66.52%
    Draw 20.11%
French GuianaDrawDominican Republic
1-0 @ 4.72% (0.055000000000001 0.06)
2-1 @ 3.7% (-0.15 -0.15)
2-0 @ 1.83% (-0.055 -0.05)
3-2 @ 0.97% (-0.092 -0.09)
3-1 @ 0.96% (-0.081 -0.08)
Other @ 1.18%
Total : 13.36%
1-1 @ 9.55% (0.016 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.09% (0.315 0.32)
2-2 @ 3.75% (-0.19 -0.19)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 20.11%
0-2 @ 12.46% (0.4 0.4)
0-1 @ 12.32% (0.52 0.52)
1-2 @ 9.66% (-0.081 -0.08)
0-3 @ 8.41% (0.192 0.19)
1-3 @ 6.52% (-0.12 -0.12)
0-4 @ 4.25% (0.055 0.05)
1-4 @ 3.3% (-0.095 -0.1)
2-3 @ 2.53% (-0.155 -0.16)
0-5 @ 1.72% (0.006 0.01)
1-5 @ 1.33% (-0.052 -0.05)
2-4 @ 1.28% (-0.092 -0.09)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 66.52%

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Form Guide
Last Game: French Guiana 1-0 Belize
Tuesday, June 14 at 11pm in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Belize 1-1 French Guiana
Thursday, June 9 at 11pm in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Dominican Rep. 2-3 French Guiana
Monday, June 6 at 12am in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Dominican Rep. 1-1 Cuba
Friday, November 18 at 11pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Guatemala 2-0 Dominican Rep.
Tuesday, June 14 at 1am in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Dominican Rep. 1-1 Guatemala
Saturday, June 11 at 12am in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Dominican Rep. 2-3 French Guiana
Monday, June 6 at 12am in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Panama 3-0 Dominican Rep.
Wednesday, June 9 at 2.05am in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
Last Game: Dominican Rep. 1-1 Barbados
Saturday, June 5 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America


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