SM
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Trinidad and Tobago | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Mexico | 3 | 6 | 5 |
| 3 | Cuba | 3 | -7 | 3 |
| 4 | Guatemala | 3 | -3 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guatemala win with a probability of 53.14%. A win for Dominican Republic had a probability of 23.89% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guatemala win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.35%) and 2-0 (8.52%). The likeliest Dominican Republic win was 1-2 (6.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Guatemala would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Guatemala | Draw | Dominican Republic |
53.14% ( -0.03) | 22.96% ( 0.01) | 23.89% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 57.23% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57% ( -0.01) | 43% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.6% ( -0.01) | 65.4% ( 0.01) |
| Guatemala Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.82% ( -0.02) | 16.17% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.36% ( -0.02) | 45.64% ( 0.02) |
| Dominican Republic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.27% ( 0.01) | 31.73% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.84% ( 0.01) | 68.15% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Guatemala | Draw | Dominican Republic |
| 2-1 @ 9.78% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.35% 2-0 @ 8.52% ( -0)3-1 @ 5.94% ( -0)3-0 @ 5.17% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.41% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.7% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.36% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.55% ( -0)5-1 @ 0.99% ( -0)Other @ 3.39% Total : 53.14% | 1-1 @ 10.73% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.61% ( 0)0-0 @ 5.13% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.3% Other @ 0.19% Total : 22.96% | 1-2 @ 6.16% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.89% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.38% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.36% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.15% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.29% ( 0)Other @ 2.66% Total : 23.89% |
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