Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nicaragua win with a probability of 52.99%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Bahamas had a probability of 22.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nicaragua win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.84%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.69%), while for a Bahamas win it was 0-1 (7.12%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nicaragua would win this match.
Result | ||
Nicaragua | Draw | Bahamas |
52.99% (![]() | 24.59% (![]() | 22.42% (![]() |
Both teams to score 50.23% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.59% (![]() | 51.41% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.78% (![]() | 73.22% (![]() |
Nicaragua Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.64% (![]() | 19.36% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.85% (![]() | 51.14% (![]() |
Bahamas Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.29% (![]() | 37.71% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.51% (![]() | 74.48% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Nicaragua | Draw | Bahamas |
1-0 @ 11.98% 2-0 @ 9.84% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 9.6% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 5.39% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.25% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.56% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.21% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.16% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.05% ( ![]() Other @ 2.94% Total : 52.98% | 1-1 @ 11.69% (![]() 0-0 @ 7.3% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.68% ( ![]() Other @ 0.92% Total : 24.59% | 0-1 @ 7.12% (![]() 1-2 @ 5.7% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.47% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.85% 2-3 @ 1.52% 0-3 @ 1.13% ( ![]() Other @ 1.62% Total : 22.42% |
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