SM
| Current League B Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Antigua and Barbuda | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Guyana | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Puerto Rico | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Bahamas | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League C Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Cayman Islands | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | US Virgin Islands | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Aruba | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Puerto Rico win with a probability of 63.01%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Aruba had a probability of 18.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Puerto Rico win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.84%) and 3-1 (7.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.02%), while for an Aruba win it was 1-2 (4.85%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Puerto Rico would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Puerto Rico | Draw | Aruba |
63.01% ( 2.65) | 18.75% ( -0.63) | 18.23% ( -2.01) |
| Both teams to score 63.58% ( -1.4) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.26% ( -0.18) | 30.74% ( 0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 47.92% ( -0.22) | 52.08% ( 0.22) |
| Puerto Rico Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.59% ( 0.58) | 9.41% ( -0.57) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 68.36% ( 1.34) | 31.64% ( -1.34) |
| Aruba Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.18% ( -2) | 29.82% ( 2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.09% ( -2.49) | 65.9% ( 2.49) |
| Score Analysis |
| Puerto Rico | Draw | Aruba |
| 2-1 @ 9.48% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 7.84% ( 0.46)3-1 @ 7.47% ( 0.22)1-0 @ 6.63% ( 0.23)3-0 @ 6.18% ( 0.51)3-2 @ 4.52% ( -0.12)4-1 @ 4.42% ( 0.24)4-0 @ 3.65% ( 0.39)4-2 @ 2.67% 5-1 @ 2.09% ( 0.16)5-0 @ 1.73% ( 0.22)5-2 @ 1.26% ( 0.03)4-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.06)Other @ 4.01% Total : 63.01% | 1-1 @ 8.02% ( -0.16) 2-2 @ 5.74% ( -0.3)0-0 @ 2.81% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.82% ( -0.15)Other @ 0.37% Total : 18.75% | 1-2 @ 4.85% ( -0.38) 0-1 @ 3.39% ( -0.16)2-3 @ 2.31% ( -0.26)0-2 @ 2.05% ( -0.22)1-3 @ 1.96% ( -0.28)Other @ 3.66% Total : 18.23% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
