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World Cup Qualifying - North Central America | Second Round
Jun 11, 2024 at 8pm UK
Beausejour Stadium
AN

St Lucia
2 - 2
Aruba

Stanislas (45+2'), Pearson (67')
Doxilly (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Bennett (21'), Marselia (43' pen.)
Lewis (90+3')
Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - North Central America Second Round clash between Saint Lucia and Aruba.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Haiti 2-1 St Lucia
Thursday, June 6 at 10pm in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Aruba 0-2 Curacao
Sunday, June 9 at 1am in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint Lucia win with a probability of 38.49%. A win for Aruba had a probability of 35.15% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Saint Lucia win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (6.62%). The likeliest Aruba win was 0-1 (9.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.

Result
Saint LuciaDrawAruba
38.49% (0.061 0.06) 26.36% (0.049000000000003 0.05) 35.15% (-0.106 -0.11)
Both teams to score 52.92% (-0.174 -0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.2% (-0.21599999999999 -0.22)51.8% (0.224 0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.43% (-0.189 -0.19)73.56% (0.194 0.19)
Saint Lucia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.72% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)26.27% (0.068999999999999 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.61% (-0.086999999999996 -0.09)61.39% (0.094000000000001 0.09)
Aruba Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.78% (-0.17 -0.17)28.22% (0.175 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.08% (-0.217 -0.22)63.92% (0.223 0.22)
Score Analysis
    Saint Lucia 38.49%
    Aruba 35.15%
    Draw 26.35%
Saint LuciaDrawAruba
1-0 @ 9.91% (0.068 0.07)
2-1 @ 8.38%
2-0 @ 6.62% (0.033 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.73% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.95% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.36% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.25% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 0.99% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 38.49%
1-1 @ 12.53% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 7.41% (0.065 0.06)
2-2 @ 5.3% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.35%
0-1 @ 9.38% (0.037000000000001 0.04)
1-2 @ 7.93% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-2 @ 5.93% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 3.35% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.5% (-0.015 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.24% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.06% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 35.15%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Haiti 2-1 St Lucia
Thursday, June 6 at 10pm in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
Last Game: St Lucia 1-2 Sint Maarten
Sunday, November 19 at 7pm in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Saint Kitts 0-0 St Lucia
Thursday, November 16 at 11pm in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Guadeloupe 2-0 St Lucia
Sunday, October 15 at 8.30pm in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: St Lucia 2-1 Guadeloupe
Friday, October 13 at 1am in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: St Lucia 2-0 Saint Kitts
Monday, September 11 at 12am in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Aruba 0-2 Curacao
Sunday, June 9 at 1am in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
Last Game: Dominican Rep. 0-0 Aruba
Saturday, March 23 at 10pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Aruba 5-1 Cayman Islands
Monday, November 20 at 7pm in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: US Virgin Islands 1-4 Aruba
Thursday, November 16 at 11pm in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Aruba 3-1 US Virgin Islands
Saturday, October 14 at 8pm in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Cayman Islands 1-2 Aruba
Monday, September 11 at 9.30pm in CONCACAF Nations League


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