SM
| Current League B Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Saint Kitts and Nevis | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Saint Lucia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Guadeloupe | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Sint Maarten | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League C Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Cayman Islands | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | US Virgin Islands | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Aruba | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aruba win with a probability of 77.26%. A draw had a probability of 14.6% and a win for Sint Maarten had a probability of 8.11%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aruba win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (10.66%) and 0-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.95%), while for a Sint Maarten win it was 1-0 (2.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sint Maarten | Draw | Aruba |
8.11% ( -0.17) | 14.63% ( -0.17) | 77.26% ( 0.33) |
| Both teams to score 46.59% ( -0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.08% ( 0.22) | 36.92% ( -0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.89% ( 0.23) | 59.1% ( -0.24) |
| Sint Maarten Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 50.55% ( -0.24) | 49.45% ( 0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 15.73% ( -0.17) | 84.27% ( 0.17) |
| Aruba Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.17% ( 0.12) | 7.83% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 72.23% ( 0.3) | 27.77% ( -0.31) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sint Maarten | Draw | Aruba |
| 1-0 @ 2.73% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 2.45% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 0.96% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.98% Total : 8.11% | 1-1 @ 6.95% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 3.87% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 3.12% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.7% Total : 14.63% | 0-2 @ 12.55% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 10.66% ( 0.08)0-1 @ 9.86% ( -0.04)1-2 @ 8.85% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 7.51% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 6.79% ( 0.09)1-4 @ 4.78% ( 0.03)0-5 @ 3.46% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 2.65% ( -0.02)1-5 @ 2.44% ( 0.03)2-4 @ 1.68% 0-6 @ 1.47% ( 0.04)1-6 @ 1.04% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.51% Total : 77.24% |
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