SM
| Current League C Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Cayman Islands | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | US Virgin Islands | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Aruba | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League B Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Antigua and Barbuda | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Guyana | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Puerto Rico | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Bahamas | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Puerto Rico win with a probability of 42.77%. A win for Aruba had a probability of 33.94% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Puerto Rico win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.94%) and 0-2 (5.91%). The likeliest Aruba win was 2-1 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Puerto Rico would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Aruba | Draw | Puerto Rico |
33.94% ( 0.93) | 23.29% ( -0.05) | 42.77% ( -0.87) |
| Both teams to score 63.51% ( 0.54) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.04% ( 0.57) | 37.96% ( -0.56) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.78% ( 0.6) | 60.22% ( -0.6) |
| Aruba Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.63% ( 0.78) | 22.38% ( -0.78) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.13% ( 1.16) | 55.87% ( -1.15) |
| Puerto Rico Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.81% ( -0.13) | 18.19% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.81% ( -0.22) | 49.19% ( 0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aruba | Draw | Puerto Rico |
| 2-1 @ 7.78% ( 0.12) 1-0 @ 6.09% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 4.56% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 3.88% ( 0.14)3-2 @ 3.31% ( 0.11)3-0 @ 2.28% ( 0.09)4-1 @ 1.45% ( 0.09)4-2 @ 1.24% ( 0.07)Other @ 3.36% Total : 33.94% | 1-1 @ 10.38% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 6.63% ( 0.07)0-0 @ 4.07% ( -0.11)3-3 @ 1.88% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.33% Total : 23.29% | 1-2 @ 8.85% ( -0.11) 0-1 @ 6.94% ( -0.22)0-2 @ 5.91% ( -0.21)1-3 @ 5.03% ( -0.08)2-3 @ 3.76% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 3.36% ( -0.14)1-4 @ 2.14% ( -0.04)2-4 @ 1.6% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.43% ( -0.06)Other @ 3.75% Total : 42.77% |
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