Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint Kitts and Nevis win with a probability of 46.64%. A win for Saint Martin had a probability of 28.9% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saint Kitts and Nevis win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.35%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest Saint Martin win was 0-1 (7.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.
0.02) 
-0) 
