Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint Kitts and Nevis win with a probability of 43.11%. A win for El Salvador had a probability of 32.04% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saint Kitts and Nevis win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.01%) and 2-0 (6.95%). The likeliest El Salvador win was 1-2 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.