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World Cup Qualifying - North Central America | Second Round | 1st Leg
Jun 12, 2021 at 9pm UK
Warner Park Football Stadium
ES

Saint Kitts
0 - 4
El Salvador


Panayiotou (79'), Maynard (79')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Rugamas (3', 27'), Perez (20'), Ceren (64' pen.)
Gonzalez (48')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint Kitts and Nevis win with a probability of 43.11%. A win for El Salvador had a probability of 32.04% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Saint Kitts and Nevis win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.01%) and 2-0 (6.95%). The likeliest El Salvador win was 1-2 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.

Result
Saint Kitts and NevisDrawEl Salvador
43.11%24.86%32.04%
Both teams to score 57.15%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.02%45.98%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.72%68.28%
Saint Kitts and Nevis Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.64%21.36%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.66%54.34%
El Salvador Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.67%27.33%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.22%62.78%
Score Analysis
    Saint Kitts and Nevis 43.11%
    El Salvador 32.04%
    Draw 24.86%
Saint Kitts and NevisDrawEl Salvador
2-1 @ 9.02%
1-0 @ 9.01%
2-0 @ 6.95%
3-1 @ 4.64%
3-0 @ 3.58%
3-2 @ 3.01%
4-1 @ 1.79%
4-0 @ 1.38%
4-2 @ 1.16%
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 43.11%
1-1 @ 11.69%
2-2 @ 5.85%
0-0 @ 5.84%
3-3 @ 1.3%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.86%
1-2 @ 7.58%
0-1 @ 7.57%
0-2 @ 4.91%
1-3 @ 3.28%
2-3 @ 2.53%
0-3 @ 2.12%
1-4 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 32.04%

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