SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aruba win with a probability of 41.61%. A win for Saint Kitts and Nevis had a probability of 35.78% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aruba win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.93%) and 2-0 (5.24%). The likeliest Saint Kitts and Nevis win was 1-2 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Aruba | Draw | Saint Kitts and Nevis |
41.61% ( 5.48) | 22.61% ( -0.17) | 35.78% ( -5.31) |
| Both teams to score 66.62% ( 0.6) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.91% ( 0.81) | 34.08% ( -0.81) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.04% ( 0.91) | 55.96% ( -0.92) |
| Aruba Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.92% ( 2.77) | 17.08% ( -2.77) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.73% ( 4.68) | 47.26% ( -4.69) |
| Saint Kitts and Nevis Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.34% ( -2.03) | 19.65% ( 2.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.37% ( -3.41) | 51.62% ( 3.4) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aruba | Draw | Saint Kitts and Nevis |
| 2-1 @ 8.53% ( 0.59) 1-0 @ 5.93% ( 0.27)2-0 @ 5.24% ( 0.67)3-1 @ 5.02% ( 0.75)3-2 @ 4.09% ( 0.37)3-0 @ 3.09% ( 0.62)4-1 @ 2.22% ( 0.49)4-2 @ 1.81% ( 0.31)4-0 @ 1.36% ( 0.37)4-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.11)Other @ 3.34% Total : 41.61% | 1-1 @ 9.65% ( -0.17) 2-2 @ 6.94% ( 0.05)0-0 @ 3.36% ( -0.14)3-3 @ 2.22% ( 0.07)Other @ 0.45% Total : 22.61% | 1-2 @ 7.85% ( -0.67) 0-1 @ 5.46% ( -0.61)0-2 @ 4.44% ( -0.83)1-3 @ 4.26% ( -0.67)2-3 @ 3.76% ( -0.22)0-3 @ 2.41% ( -0.64)1-4 @ 1.73% ( -0.41)2-4 @ 1.53% ( -0.2)0-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.34)3-4 @ 0.9% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.45% Total : 35.78% |
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