Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sint Maarten win with a probability of 48.4%. A win for Turks and Caicos had a probability of 25.83% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sint Maarten win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 2-0 (8.97%). The likeliest Turks and Caicos win was 0-1 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 8-2 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sint Maarten would win this match.
-0.02) 
0.05) 
