SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colombia win with a probability of 42.05%. A win for Panama had a probability of 30.36% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colombia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (7.96%). The likeliest Panama win was 0-1 (9.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Colombia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Colombia | Draw | Panama |
42.05% ( -0.47) | 27.59% ( 0.06) | 30.36% ( 0.4) |
| Both teams to score 47.83% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.33% ( -0.1) | 57.66% ( 0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.57% ( -0.08) | 78.42% ( 0.08) |
| Colombia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.93% ( -0.3) | 27.06% ( 0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.56% ( -0.39) | 62.44% ( 0.39) |
| Panama Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.58% ( 0.25) | 34.42% ( -0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.87% ( 0.26) | 71.13% ( -0.27) |
| Score Analysis |
| Colombia | Draw | Panama |
| 1-0 @ 12.17% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 8.49% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 7.96% ( -0.1)3-1 @ 3.7% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 3.47% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 1.97% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.21% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.13% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.96% Total : 42.04% | 1-1 @ 12.98% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 9.32% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 4.53% ( 0)Other @ 0.77% Total : 27.59% | 0-1 @ 9.94% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 6.93% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 5.3% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 2.46% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 1.88% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 1.61% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.25% Total : 30.36% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
