SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panama win with a probability of 67.08%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Bolivia had a probability of 13.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Panama win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.18%) and 1-2 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.23%), while for a Bolivia win it was 1-0 (4.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Panama would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bolivia | Draw | Panama |
13.5% ( -0.37) | 19.42% ( -0.01) | 67.08% ( 0.37) |
| Both teams to score 49.42% ( -1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.31% ( -0.81) | 43.69% ( 0.8) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.92% ( -0.79) | 66.08% ( 0.79) |
| Bolivia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.2% ( -1.06) | 43.79% ( 1.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.05% ( -0.88) | 79.95% ( 0.88) |
| Panama Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.92% ( -0.14) | 12.08% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.39% ( -0.28) | 37.61% ( 0.27) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bolivia | Draw | Panama |
| 1-0 @ 4.37% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 3.81% ( -0.11)2-0 @ 1.8% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 1.11% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 1.05% ( -0.06)Other @ 1.36% Total : 13.5% | 1-1 @ 9.23% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.29% ( 0.18)2-2 @ 4.03% ( -0.14)Other @ 0.87% Total : 19.42% | 0-2 @ 11.81% ( 0.29) 0-1 @ 11.18% ( 0.34)1-2 @ 9.76% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 8.33% ( 0.16)1-3 @ 6.88% ( -0.06)0-4 @ 4.4% ( 0.06)1-4 @ 3.63% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 2.84% ( -0.11)0-5 @ 1.86% ( 0.02)1-5 @ 1.54% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 1.5% ( -0.07)Other @ 3.36% Total : 67.07% |
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