Alcoyano
1 - 3
Real Madrid

Vega (66')
Carbonell (50'), Casanova (54'), Garcia (70')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Militao (39'), Asensio (76'), Juan (78' og.)
Camavinga (58'), Rodrygo (80')

Build‑up

The Match

We said: Alcoyano 0-2 Real Madrid

Alcoyano demonstrated last season that they are capable of beating Real Madrid, but it is very difficult to see the same outcome this season. Los Blancos will be keen to put the Getafe result behind them, and we are expecting the La Liga leaders to book their spot in the next round of the competition in routine fashion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 70.3%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Alcoyano had a probability of 10.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.79%) and 0-3 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.86%), while for an Alcoyano win it was 1-0 (4.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

Result
Alcoyano	Draw	Real Madrid
10.97%	18.73%	70.3%

Both teams to score 43.9%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.12%

46.88%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.87%

69.13%

Alcoyano Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

49.95%

50.05%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.3%

84.7%

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.89%

12.11%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.32%

37.68%

Score Analysis

Alcoyano 10.97%

Real Madrid 70.28%

Draw 18.73%

Alcoyano	Draw	Real Madrid
1-0 @ 4.2% 2-1 @ 3.07% 2-0 @ 1.45% Other @ 2.26% Total : 10.97%	1-1 @ 8.86% 0-0 @ 6.06% 2-2 @ 3.24% Other @ 0.58% Total : 18.73%	0-2 @ 13.5% 0-1 @ 12.79% 0-3 @ 9.51% 1-2 @ 9.35% 1-3 @ 6.58% 0-4 @ 5.02% 1-4 @ 3.47% 2-3 @ 2.28% 0-5 @ 2.12% 1-5 @ 1.47% 2-4 @ 1.2% Other @ 3% Total : 70.28%