Real Sociedad
0 - 2
Real Madrid

Zubeldia (26'), Januzaj (60')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Junior (47'), Jovic (57')

Preview

The Match

We said: Real Sociedad 1-2 Real Madrid

Real Madrid's impressive winning run will come to an end at some point, but we are expecting Los Blancos to triumph here. Real Sociedad deserve a lot of respect for their form this season, but the Basque side are missing two influential midfielders, and we fancy Los Blancos to edge a close contest on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 54.89%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 20.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.69%) and 1-2 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.65%), while for a Real Sociedad win it was 1-0 (7.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

Result
Real Sociedad	Draw	Real Madrid
20.44%	24.67%	54.89%

Both teams to score 47.41%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.2%

53.8%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.73%

75.27%

Real Sociedad Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.93%

41.07%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.38%

77.62%

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.46%

19.54%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.56%

51.44%

Score Analysis

Real Sociedad 20.44%

Real Madrid 54.88%

Draw 24.66%

Real Sociedad	Draw	Real Madrid
1-0 @ 7.14% 2-1 @ 5.19% 2-0 @ 3.18% 3-1 @ 1.54% 3-2 @ 1.26% 3-0 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.2% Total : 20.44%	1-1 @ 11.65% 0-0 @ 8.02% 2-2 @ 4.24% Other @ 0.75% Total : 24.66%	0-1 @ 13.1% 0-2 @ 10.69% 1-2 @ 9.52% 0-3 @ 5.82% 1-3 @ 5.18% 0-4 @ 2.38% 2-3 @ 2.31% 1-4 @ 2.12% 2-4 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.83% Total : 54.88%