Getafe
1 - 0
Real Madrid

Unal (9')
Suarez (56'), Arambarri (82'), Olivera (90+6')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Rodrygo (21'), Ancelotti (41'), Casemiro (87')

Build‑up

The Match

We said: Getafe 1-2 Real Madrid

Real Madrid will be looking to record their 15th La Liga victory of the season this weekend, and we are finding it difficult to back against the league leaders. Getafe have shown improvement in recent weeks, but the home side could come up just short against Ancelotti's side here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 68.23%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Getafe had a probability of 11.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.75%) and 1-2 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.38%), while for a Getafe win it was 1-0 (4.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.

Result
Getafe	Draw	Real Madrid
11.74%	20.03%	68.23%

Both teams to score 42.41%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.67%

50.32%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.73%

72.27%

Getafe Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

49.17%

50.82%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

14.77%

85.22%

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.25%

13.75%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.97%

41.03%

Score Analysis

Getafe 11.74%

Real Madrid 68.21%

Draw 20.03%

Getafe	Draw	Real Madrid
1-0 @ 4.73% 2-1 @ 3.18% 2-0 @ 1.6% Other @ 2.23% Total : 11.74%	1-1 @ 9.38% 0-0 @ 6.99% 2-2 @ 3.15% Other @ 0.51% Total : 20.03%	0-1 @ 13.86% 0-2 @ 13.75% 1-2 @ 9.31% 0-3 @ 9.1% 1-3 @ 6.16% 0-4 @ 4.51% 1-4 @ 3.06% 2-3 @ 2.08% 0-5 @ 1.79% 1-5 @ 1.21% 2-4 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.35% Total : 68.21%