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Copa del Rey | Semi-Finals | 1st Leg
Mar 3, 2021 at 8pm UK
Camp Nou
SL

Barcelona
3 - 0
Sevilla

Dembele (12'), Pique (90+4'), Braithwaite (95')
Mingueza (67'), Messi (73'), Trincao (119')
FT
(aet)

Fernando (37'), Jordan (100'), Kounde (101'), En-Nesyri (103'), Lopetegui (103')
Fernando (90+2'), de Jong (103')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 48.21%. A win for Sevilla had a probability of 28.1% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.73%) and 2-0 (7.51%). The likeliest Sevilla win was 1-2 (6.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11%).

Result
BarcelonaDrawSevilla
48.21%23.7%28.1%
Both teams to score 58.84%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.27%42.74%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.86%65.14%
Barcelona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.1%17.9%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.31%48.69%
Sevilla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.66%28.34%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.93%64.07%
Score Analysis
    Barcelona 48.21%
    Sevilla 28.1%
    Draw 23.69%
BarcelonaDrawSevilla
2-1 @ 9.47%
1-0 @ 8.73%
2-0 @ 7.51%
3-1 @ 5.43%
3-0 @ 4.31%
3-2 @ 3.42%
4-1 @ 2.34%
4-0 @ 1.85%
4-2 @ 1.47%
Other @ 3.69%
Total : 48.21%
1-1 @ 11%
2-2 @ 5.97%
0-0 @ 5.07%
3-3 @ 1.44%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 23.69%
1-2 @ 6.94%
0-1 @ 6.4%
0-2 @ 4.03%
1-3 @ 2.92%
2-3 @ 2.51%
0-3 @ 1.7%
1-4 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 28.1%

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