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Champions League | Round of 16
Feb 17, 2021 at 8pm UK
Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán
DL

Sevilla
2 - 3
Dortmund

Suso (7'), de Jong (84')
Oscar (88'), Lopetegui (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-3)
Dahoud (19'), Braut Haaland (27', 43')
Hummels (73'), Braut Haaland (90+1')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 51.92%. A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 26.65% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.57%) and 1-0 (6.45%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 (6.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.

Result
SevillaDrawBorussia Dortmund
51.92%21.42%26.65%
Both teams to score 65.85%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.02%32.97%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.3%54.69%
Sevilla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.95%13.04%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.38%39.62%
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.72%24.27%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.36%58.63%
Score Analysis
    Sevilla 51.92%
    Borussia Dortmund 26.65%
    Draw 21.42%
SevillaDrawBorussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 9.3%
2-0 @ 6.57%
1-0 @ 6.45%
3-1 @ 6.31%
3-2 @ 4.47%
3-0 @ 4.46%
4-1 @ 3.21%
4-2 @ 2.28%
4-0 @ 2.27%
5-1 @ 1.31%
4-3 @ 1.07%
5-2 @ 0.93%
5-0 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 51.92%
1-1 @ 9.13%
2-2 @ 6.58%
0-0 @ 3.17%
3-3 @ 2.11%
Other @ 0.43%
Total : 21.42%
1-2 @ 6.47%
0-1 @ 4.48%
0-2 @ 3.17%
2-3 @ 3.11%
1-3 @ 3.05%
0-3 @ 1.5%
2-4 @ 1.1%
1-4 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 26.65%

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