Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 56%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Sevilla had a probability of 21.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.01%) and 2-0 (8.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.2%), while for a Sevilla win it was 1-2 (5.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.