Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 73.55%. A draw had a probability of 16% and a win for Cacereno had a probability of 10.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.31%) and 0-3 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.49%), while for a Cacereno win it was 2-1 (3.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.
