Elche are going to end their winless run at some point, but we are finding it difficult to predict that to happen on Tuesday night. Girona have been impressive in their last two matches, and we are expecting Michel's side to collect another three points in their final league fixture before the break.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 41.51%. A win for Elche had a probability of 31.18% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.51%) and 0-2 (7.71%). The likeliest Elche win was 1-0 (9.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Girona would win this match.
-0.27) 
0.5) 
