SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 73.92%. A draw had a probability of 15.2% and a win for Girona had a probability of 10.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 3-0 (8.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.79%), while for a Girona win it was 1-2 (3.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Manchester City in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Manchester City.
| Result | ||
| Manchester City | Draw | Girona |
73.92% ( -0.27) | 15.19% ( 0.2) | 10.89% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 56.92% ( -0.63) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.99% ( -0.85) | 30.01% ( 0.85) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 48.8% ( -1.03) | 51.2% ( 1.03) |
| Manchester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.07% ( -0.25) | 6.93% ( 0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 74.57% ( -0.66) | 25.42% ( 0.66) |
| Girona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.16% ( -0.51) | 38.84% ( 0.51) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.43% ( -0.49) | 75.57% ( 0.48) |
| Score Analysis |
| Manchester City | Draw | Girona |
| 2-0 @ 9.59% ( 0.21) 2-1 @ 9.07% ( 0.08)3-0 @ 8.53% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 8.07% ( -0.04)1-0 @ 7.18% ( 0.25)4-0 @ 5.69% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 5.39% ( -0.1)3-2 @ 3.82% ( -0.07)5-0 @ 3.04% ( -0.05)5-1 @ 2.88% ( -0.09)4-2 @ 2.55% ( -0.08)5-2 @ 1.36% ( -0.06)6-0 @ 1.35% ( -0.04)6-1 @ 1.28% ( -0.06)Other @ 4.13% Total : 73.92% | 1-1 @ 6.79% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 4.29% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 2.69% ( 0.13)3-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.21% Total : 15.19% | 1-2 @ 3.21% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 2.55% ( 0.09)2-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 1.2% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.57% Total : 10.89% |
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