Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osasuna win with a probability of 61.02%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Chiclana had a probability of 18.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Osasuna win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9%) and 0-1 (8.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.27%), while for a Chiclana win it was 2-1 (5.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Osasuna would win this match.
-1.51) 
2.49) 
