Osasuna are yet to win on their travels this season, picking up just two points from their four matches, and although Real Sociedad's home form this season has been disappointing, we are expecting the hosts to secure a narrow victory on Sunday night.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 56.56%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 18.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.86%) and 2-1 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.61%), while for a Osasuna win it was 0-1 (7.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.