SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osasuna win with a probability of 39.38%. A win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 35.41% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Osasuna win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.6%) and 2-0 (6.32%). The likeliest Real Valladolid win was 0-1 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Osasuna in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Osasuna.
| Result | ||
| Osasuna | Draw | Real Valladolid |
39.38% ( -0.07) | 25.21% ( -0.02) | 35.41% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 56.86% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.25% ( 0.08) | 46.76% ( -0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.98% ( 0.08) | 69.02% ( -0.07) |
| Osasuna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.49% ( 0) | 23.51% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.46% ( 0) | 57.55% |
| Real Valladolid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.34% ( 0.09) | 25.66% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.44% ( 0.12) | 60.56% ( -0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Osasuna | Draw | Real Valladolid |
| 1-0 @ 8.73% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 8.6% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 6.32% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 4.15% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.05% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.82% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.5% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.1% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.02% ( 0)Other @ 2.07% Total : 39.38% | 1-1 @ 11.88% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.03% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 5.85% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.21% | 0-1 @ 8.21% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.08% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.58% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.66% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.65% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.53% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.25% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 0.9% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.55% Total : 35.41% |
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