Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 49%. A win for Osasuna had a probability of 26.62% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 0-1 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.52%) and 0-2 (8.26%). The likeliest Osasuna win was 1-0 (6.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.
0.26) 
-0.29) 
