America Mineiro
3 - 1
Ponte Preta

Azevedo (32'), Egea (37'), Rodolfo (63' pen.)
Egea (17'), Passos (57')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Apodi (90+3')
Lazaroni (43'), Oyama (59'), Moura (70')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Copa do Brasil Fourth Stage clash between America Mineiro and Ponte Preta.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a America Mineiro win with a probability of 50.4%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Ponte Preta had a probability of 23.12%.

The most likely scoreline for an America Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.08%) and 2-1 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.37%), while for a Ponte Preta win it was 0-1 (8.43%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that America Mineiro would win this match.

Result
America Mineiro	Draw	Ponte Preta
50.4%	26.48%	23.12%

Both teams to score 45.69%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.2%

57.8%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.47%

78.53%

America Mineiro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.96%

23.04%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.14%

56.86%

Ponte Preta Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.37%

40.63%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.77%

77.23%

Score Analysis

America Mineiro 50.39%

Ponte Preta 23.12%

Draw 26.48%

America Mineiro	Draw	Ponte Preta
1-0 @ 13.74% 2-0 @ 10.08% 2-1 @ 9.08% 3-0 @ 4.94% 3-1 @ 4.45% 3-2 @ 2% 4-0 @ 1.81% 4-1 @ 1.63% Other @ 2.66% Total : 50.39%	1-1 @ 12.37% 0-0 @ 9.36% 2-2 @ 4.09% Other @ 0.65% Total : 26.48%	0-1 @ 8.43% 1-2 @ 5.57% 0-2 @ 3.8% 1-3 @ 1.67% 2-3 @ 1.23% 0-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 1.27% Total : 23.12%