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Copa do Brasil | Third Round | 1st Leg
May 23, 2024 at 11pm UK
Estadio Santa Cruz
P

Botafogo SP
0 - 0
Palmeiras


Schappo (30'), Vinicius Dias Costa (87')
FT

Rios (17'), Ferreira (18'), Rafael (38'), Piquerez (90+1')

Form, Standings, Stats

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Palmeiras 2-1 Independiente
Thursday, May 16 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores

We said: Botafogo SP 0-3 Palmeiras (Palmeiras advances 5-1 on aggregate)

While Botafogo have kept their matches close, we find it difficult to believe they can do anything except simply fend off the balanced Palmeiras attack for a while. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 58.56%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Botafogo SP had a probability of 16.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.5%) and 1-2 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.3%), while for a Botafogo SP win it was 1-0 (7.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.

Result
Botafogo SPDrawPalmeiras
16.72% (-0.114 -0.11) 24.71% (0.010999999999999 0.01) 58.56% (0.099000000000004 0.1)
Both teams to score 41.43% (-0.23099999999999 -0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.48% (-0.194 -0.19)58.51% (0.19 0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.91% (-0.153 -0.15)79.09% (0.149 0.15)
Botafogo SP Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.74% (-0.26600000000001 -0.27)48.26% (0.262 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.58% (-0.196 -0.2)83.42% (0.19199999999999 0.19)
Palmeiras Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.06% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)19.94% (0.034000000000002 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.91% (-0.058000000000007 -0.06)52.09% (0.055000000000007 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Botafogo SP 16.72%
    Palmeiras 58.55%
    Draw 24.71%
Botafogo SPDrawPalmeiras
1-0 @ 7.01% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-1 @ 4.12% (-0.036 -0.04)
2-0 @ 2.55% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-1 @ 1% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 16.72%
1-1 @ 11.3% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 9.62% (0.069000000000001 0.07)
2-2 @ 3.32% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 0.47%
Total : 24.71%
0-1 @ 15.51% (0.09 0.09)
0-2 @ 12.5% (0.06 0.06)
1-2 @ 9.12% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-3 @ 6.72% (0.027 0.03)
1-3 @ 4.9% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-4 @ 2.71% (0.008 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.98% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.79% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 58.55%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Sorry, no data available for Botafogo SP
Last Game: Palmeiras 2-1 Independiente
Thursday, May 16 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Palmeiras 0-2 Athletico PR
Sunday, May 12 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Liverpool 0-5 Palmeiras
Thursday, May 9 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Cuiaba 0-2 Palmeiras
Sunday, May 5 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Sao Paulo 0-0 Palmeiras
Tuesday, April 30 at 12am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Independiente 2-3 Palmeiras
Thursday, April 25 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores


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