Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 51.48%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 23.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.88%) and 2-1 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.05%), while for an Athletico Paranaense win it was 0-1 (7.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.
1.1) 
-1.27) 
