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ID
Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Apr 25, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Banco Guayaquil
P

Independiente
2 - 3
Palmeiras

Paez (12'), Hoyos (38')
Hoyos (16'), Ortiz (74'), Caicedo (76')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Endrick (45+2'), Lazaro (81'), Guilherme (90+5')
Vanderlan (80'), Rios (90+1')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Independiente del Valle and Palmeiras.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Independiente 2-0 San Lorenzo
Wednesday, April 10 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente del Valle win with a probability of 36.71%. A win for Palmeiras had a probability of 36.34% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente del Valle win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.05%) and 2-0 (6.44%). The likeliest Palmeiras win was 0-1 (10.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.

Result
Independiente del ValleDrawPalmeiras
36.71% (0.227 0.23) 26.95% (0.042000000000002 0.04) 36.34% (-0.268 -0.27)
Both teams to score 51.08% (-0.142 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.83% (-0.178 -0.18)54.17% (0.182 0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.42% (-0.15 -0.15)75.58% (0.15299999999999 0.15)
Independiente del Valle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.58% (0.049999999999997 0.05)28.42% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.82% (0.060000000000002 0.06)64.18% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)
Palmeiras Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.36% (-0.245 -0.25)28.64% (0.25 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.55% (-0.311 -0.31)64.45% (0.313 0.31)
Score Analysis
    Independiente del Valle 36.7%
    Palmeiras 36.33%
    Draw 26.95%
Independiente del ValleDrawPalmeiras
1-0 @ 10.24% (0.09 0.09)
2-1 @ 8.05% (0.022 0.02)
2-0 @ 6.44% (0.062 0.06)
3-1 @ 3.38% (0.014 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.7% (0.03 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.11% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.06% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 36.7%
1-1 @ 12.8% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 8.14% (0.057 0.06)
2-2 @ 5.04% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 26.95%
0-1 @ 10.17%
1-2 @ 8.01% (-0.043999999999999 -0.04)
0-2 @ 6.36% (-0.043 -0.04)
1-3 @ 3.34% (-0.042 -0.04)
0-3 @ 2.65% (-0.037 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.1% (-0.024 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.04% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 36.33%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Independiente 2-0 San Lorenzo
Wednesday, April 10 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Liverpool 1-1 Independiente
Friday, April 5 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Independiente 1-1 Dep. Pereira
Thursday, August 10 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Dep. Pereira 1-0 Independiente
Thursday, August 3 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Sevilla 1-1 Independiente (4-1 pen.)
Wednesday, July 19 at 9pm in UEFA CONMEBOL Club Challenge
Last Game: Independiente 3-2 Argentinos Jrs
Thursday, June 29 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Palmeiras 0-0 Flamengo
Sunday, April 21 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Palmeiras 0-1 Internacional
Thursday, April 18 at 12am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Vitoria 0-1 Palmeiras
Sunday, April 14 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Palmeiras 3-1 Liverpool
Friday, April 12 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: San Lorenzo 1-1 Palmeiras
Thursday, April 4 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Cruzeiro 1-1 Palmeiras
Thursday, December 7 at 12.30am in Brasileiro


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