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Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Oct 23, 2020 at 1.30am UK
Estádio Olímpico Monumental

Gremio
1 - 1
America

Souza (90+11' pen.)
Souza (4'), Kannemann (32'), Silva (42'), Thaciano (79')
Kannemann (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Kannemann (53' og.)
Segovia (13'), Camilo Arrieta Medina (14'), Cabrera (90+2'), Velasco (90+7'), Vergara (90+9'), Torres (90+10')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Gremio and America de Cali.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 66.12%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for America de Cali had a probability of 12.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.9%) and 2-1 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.87%), while for an America de Cali win it was 0-1 (5.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.

Result
GremioDrawAmerica de Cali
66.12%21.37%12.51%
Both teams to score 40.87%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.23%53.77%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.76%75.24%
Gremio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.48%15.52%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.56%44.44%
America de Cali Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
48.38%51.62%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.24%85.76%
Score Analysis
    Gremio 66.1%
    America de Cali 12.51%
    Draw 21.37%
GremioDrawAmerica de Cali
1-0 @ 14.92%
2-0 @ 13.9%
2-1 @ 9.19%
3-0 @ 8.63%
3-1 @ 5.71%
4-0 @ 4.02%
4-1 @ 2.66%
3-2 @ 1.89%
5-0 @ 1.5%
5-1 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 66.1%
1-1 @ 9.87%
0-0 @ 8.01%
2-2 @ 3.04%
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 21.37%
0-1 @ 5.3%
1-2 @ 3.26%
0-2 @ 1.75%
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 12.51%


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