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Brasileiro | Gameweek 16
Oct 14, 2020 at 11.15pm UK
Estádio Olímpico Monumental
BL

Gremio
3 - 1
Botafogo

Souza (34'), Pepe (48', 66')
Henrique (31'), Souza (54'), Rodrigues (81')
Souza (53')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Babi (42')
Santos (30'), Babi (80')
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Gremio and Botafogo.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 60.82%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Botafogo had a probability of 15.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.45%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.85%), while for a Botafogo win it was 0-1 (6.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gremio would win this match.

Result
GremioDrawBotafogo
60.82%23.24%15.94%
Both teams to score 43.78%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.51%54.49%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.15%75.85%
Gremio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.42%17.58%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.86%48.14%
Botafogo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.11%46.89%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.6%82.4%
Score Analysis
    Gremio 60.81%
    Botafogo 15.94%
    Draw 23.23%
GremioDrawBotafogo
1-0 @ 14.32%
2-0 @ 12.45%
2-1 @ 9.43%
3-0 @ 7.22%
3-1 @ 5.47%
4-0 @ 3.14%
4-1 @ 2.38%
3-2 @ 2.07%
5-0 @ 1.09%
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 60.81%
1-1 @ 10.85%
0-0 @ 8.24%
2-2 @ 3.57%
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 23.23%
0-1 @ 6.24%
1-2 @ 4.11%
0-2 @ 2.36%
1-3 @ 1.04%
2-3 @ 0.9%
Other @ 1.28%
Total : 15.94%


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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