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Copa do Brasil | Third Round | 2nd Leg
Jul 13, 2024 at 9.15pm UK
Estadio Alfredo Jaconi
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Juventude
1 - 1
Internacional

Sam (45+6')
Jadson (39'), Erick (45+9'), Carlos (72')
Ruschel (75')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Valencia (79' pen.)
Henrique (58')
Vitao (90+5')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Internacional 1-2 Juventude
Wednesday, July 10 at 11pm in Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Internacional 1-2 Juventude
Wednesday, July 10 at 11pm in Copa do Brasil

We said: Juventude 1-1 Internacional (Juventude win 3-2 on aggregate)

Enjoying a seven-match unbeaten streak on home soil in the Brasileiro, Juventude should be confident of translating that stellar league form into a Copa do Brasil result and subsequent progression this weekend. Facing a one-goal deficit, Internacional will need to be the aggressors on Saturday, a role that does not particularly suit a side who are known for their pragmatism and defensive prowess. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Internacional win with a probability of 41.51%. A draw had a probability of 29.8% and a win for Juventude had a probability of 28.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Internacional win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.48%) and 1-2 (7.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.31%), while for a Juventude win it was 1-0 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
JuventudeDrawInternacional
28.67% (0.518 0.52) 29.82% (0.404 0.4) 41.51% (-0.923 -0.92)
Both teams to score 41.22% (-0.746 -0.75)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
34.46% (-1.039 -1.04)65.54% (1.04 1.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
15.73% (-0.728 -0.73)84.26% (0.72699999999999 0.73)
Juventude Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.93% (-0.163 -0.16)40.07% (0.164 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.28% (-0.15 -0.15)76.72% (0.15000000000001 0.15)
Internacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.79% (-1.055 -1.05)31.21% (1.055 1.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.44% (-1.247 -1.25)67.55% (1.245 1.25)
Score Analysis
    Juventude 28.66%
    Internacional 41.51%
    Draw 29.8%
JuventudeDrawInternacional
1-0 @ 11.43% (0.38 0.38)
2-1 @ 6.09% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 5.23% (0.153 0.15)
3-1 @ 1.86% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.59% (0.039 0.04)
3-2 @ 1.08% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 1.38%
Total : 28.66%
1-1 @ 13.31% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 12.5% (0.47 0.47)
2-2 @ 3.55% (-0.103 -0.1)
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 29.8%
0-1 @ 14.56% (0.14 0.14)
0-2 @ 8.48% (-0.169 -0.17)
1-2 @ 7.75% (-0.19 -0.19)
0-3 @ 3.29% (-0.165 -0.17)
1-3 @ 3.01% (-0.165 -0.17)
2-3 @ 1.38% (-0.082 -0.08)
0-4 @ 0.96% (-0.078 -0.08)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 41.51%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Internacional 1-2 Juventude
Wednesday, July 10 at 11pm in Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Juventude 3-0 Gremio
Sunday, July 7 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Bahia 2-0 Juventude
Thursday, July 4 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Fortaleza 2-1 Juventude
Sunday, June 30 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Juventude 2-1 Flamengo
Thursday, June 27 at 12am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Palmeiras 3-1 Juventude
Sunday, June 23 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Internacional 1-2 Juventude
Wednesday, July 10 at 11pm in Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Internacional 1-2 Vasco
Sunday, July 7 at 10pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Fluminense 1-1 Internacional
Friday, July 5 at 12am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Criciuma 1-1 Internacional
Sunday, June 30 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Internacional 1-2 Atletico Mineiro
Thursday, June 27 at 1.30am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Gremio 0-1 Internacional
Saturday, June 22 at 9.30pm in Brasileiro


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