Internacional have been defensively solid in recent weeks, which has helped them secure important victories. Coming up against an Atletico Mineiro side that have struggled for goals, this could be the difference. We are backing the hosts to nick this one at the end.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Internacional win with a probability of 43.06%. A win for Atletico Mineiro had a probability of 29.13% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Internacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (8.32%). The likeliest Atletico Mineiro win was 0-1 (9.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
0.05) 
-0.02) 
