Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 44.28%. A win for Bahia had a probability of 27.89% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.69%) and 1-2 (8.55%). The likeliest Bahia win was 1-0 (9.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.