Caracas
0 - 2
Medellin

Notaroberto Peci (12'), Rivero (53')
Notaroberto Peci (19'), Celis (70'), Fereira (79')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Castro (59'), Murillo (66')
C. Moreno Abadia (2'), Reina (51')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Caracas and Independiente Medellin.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caracas win with a probability of 41.33%. A win for Independiente Medellin had a probability of 30.31% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Caracas win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.21%) and 2-0 (8.02%). The likeliest Independiente Medellin win was 0-1 (10.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result
Caracas	Draw	Independiente Medellin
41.33%	28.36%	30.31%

Both teams to score 45.65%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.6%

60.4%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.46%

80.54%

Caracas Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.24%

28.76%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.4%

64.6%

Independiente Medellin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.08%

35.92%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.3%

72.7%

Score Analysis

Caracas 41.33%

Independiente Medellin 30.3%

Draw 28.36%

Caracas	Draw	Independiente Medellin
1-0 @ 12.87% 2-1 @ 8.21% 2-0 @ 8.02% 3-1 @ 3.41% 3-0 @ 3.33% 3-2 @ 1.75% 4-1 @ 1.06% 4-0 @ 1.04% Other @ 1.63% Total : 41.33%	1-1 @ 13.18% 0-0 @ 10.33% 2-2 @ 4.2% Other @ 0.65% Total : 28.36%	0-1 @ 10.57% 1-2 @ 6.75% 0-2 @ 5.41% 1-3 @ 2.3% 0-3 @ 1.85% 2-3 @ 1.44% Other @ 1.98% Total : 30.3%